A Week in the Horn

      07/11/2008 

  • The post-mortem on IGAD’s Nairobi Summit

  • EU Parliamentary delegation visits Ethiopia and the Horn of Africa

  • A response to President Issayas’ latest letter to the UN

  • Regional security policies in the Horn of Africa: the “experts” meet in Cairo

  • Press TV’s reporting on the Horn of Africa

  • IGAD revitalization: making progress

  • A welcome to President-Elect Barack Obama

  • Ethiopia: a pillar of peace in the Horn of Africa.

Another requirement of the Nairobi Declaration is the appointment of a facilitator. The Chairman of the IGAD Council of Ministers has requested comments from his colleagues on the nomination of a candidate proposed by Kenya, but consultations on the matter have not yet been finalized. The facilitator is expected to base himself in Addis Ababa to keep in close and continuous touch with the chair of the IGAD Assembly. The appointment will be a major factor in the implementation of the Nairobi Declaration. It will also provide a framework to assist the TFIs of Somalia and their leadership to work together for the full implementation of the Declaration.  

Meanwhile, Sheikh Sharif, the head of the Djibouti faction of the Alliance for the Re-Liberation of Somalia (ARS-D) visited Jowhar and Belet Weyne this week, in his first visit to Somalia in nearly two years. The regions of Middle Shebelle and Hiiraan make up a visible constituency for the ARS-Djibouti faction. He and his seven man delegation met with a warm welcome in both towns. He will be meeting supporters inside Somalia and is expected to visit a number of other towns. His trip will add impetus to the pressure for the implementation of the Djibouti Agreement, emphasized by the Declaration of the extraordinary Nairobi summit. Both the Agreement and the Declaration speak of the need for a unity government to be established within ninety days. Ethiopia continues to do whatever is possible to ensure this is carried out. However, failure to abide strictly by the provisions of the Nairobi Declaration and the Djibouti agreement will have further implications for Ethiopia’s role in Somalia.  It is normally overlooked that the continued presence of Ethiopia in Somalia has financial implications which Ethiopia might not be able to sustain for too long, and Ethiopia’s concerns in this regard have been quietly communicated  to its partners.    

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The root problem in Western Sudan, as in the conflicts in Chad and the Central African Republic, was identified as the way the political culture of these countries focus only on development for the benefit of the group in power. The solution suggested was a need to find an institutional political system to allow an effective sharing of resources. In Darfur, participants felt the need for coherence and coordination between all international actors who should get beyond their own organizational interests and create a space for the Sudanese to find their own solutions. The ICC issue should be separated from the issue of peace in the Sudan. State-building and social inclusion, and Secession and trans-border issues were discussed in detail. Ethiopia's ethnic federal structure was identified as ‘the best conflict management device with its promise of shared power and space for multiple identities/loyalties’. The representative of the ICG did not agree, characterizing it as a continuation of narrow ethnic group domination, and calling Ethiopia “the most unstable country in Africa”. No one else agreed and other participants cited evidence of stability and development in all the regional components of Ethiopia's federal structure. Indeed, Somalia and Kenya, and even other countries in the region and beyond, were recommended to follow such a federal structure as the recipe for successful state building and resource sharing as a way out of current predicaments. The Nile Basin Initiative (NBI) attracted considerable discussion. There was agreement on the need to build confidence among riparian states, particularly between Ethiopia and Egypt, to make the NBI an effective organization, to discontinue unilateral development, and on the necessity to deal with the unmet development programs of NBI member states. In conclusion a number of actions were recommended as ways forward to help achieve regional security. These included the need to practice good governance characterized by a responsible and participatory approach; for governments to engage their populations in a dialogue; increase the role of civil society; establish a system of conflict management; create cross-border cooperation; and expand regional trade.  

The most hotly discussed issues were the conflicts in the Horn, the Ethio-Eritrean border, the Eritrean invasion of Djibouti, and conflicts in Somalia. Dr. Annette Weber, from the Institute for International and Security Affairs, Berlin, presented a provocative paper which minimized the threat of terrorism in the Horn of Africa and anticipated much of what the ICG representative was to say. In the extensive discussion it generated the most outspoken comments came from the representative of the Brussels based International Crisis Group. He surprised other participants by taking an identical line to that of the Eritrean Government, arguing the need for Ethiopia to withdraw from “occupied Eritrean territories”, and claiming the 'virtual' demarcation decision of the Boundary Commission was final and legal and, ignoring the numerous anomalies acknowledged by the Boundary Commission, claimed it should be endorsed by the UN Security Council. He also claimed Ethiopia’s  ‘invasion’ of Somalia was intended to balkanize Somalia, that any claim of a terrorist threat to Ethiopia’s security was a fabrication in collaboration with the US, and that there was no border conflict between Eritrea and Djibouti and claims of this were no more than a US invention. Participants and organizers were surprised by the complete association of the International Crisis Group with the position of the Eritrean government and the ICG representative's comments were strongly challenged, indeed refuted, by participants from Ethiopia and by other discussants. Surprisingly, the ICG continues to be unconcerned by its credibility in the region.  

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A statement from Foreign Minister Seyoum was read to the workshop by the head of the Ethiopian delegation. It pointed out that at the continental level the African Union and NEPAD have provided a framework for the creation of a peaceful, prosperous and democratic Africa. It further indicated that this framework has recognized Regional Economic Communities, including IGAD, as the building blocs for continental unity.  It underscored that at this stage the main task was therefore to interpret and translate these objectives and policies into implementable development activities. The statement also emphasized Ethiopia's commitment to the ideals enshrined in the Treaty Establishing IGAD. Ethiopia, in its capacity as the Chairman of IGAD, also chaired the workshop.  

The meeting listened to presentations on the draft IGAD transport, infrastructure, industry and ICT Project; the World Bank Strategy on Regional Integration for Sub-Saharan Africa; the IGAD Livestock Policy Initiative Project; and the Minimum Integration Plan. The workshop deliberated on each of the presentations at a plenary and broke into the six working groups to further discuss the issues in a more detailed manner. These groups covered Peace and Security, Agriculture, Livestock and Food Security, Natural Resources and Environment, Trade and Macroeconomic policies, Infrastructure and Social Development. At the end of the workshops, the experts reached a consensus on the need to establish a Free Trade Area (FTA) in the IGAD region. The workshop has requested the IGAD Secretariat to present a detailed study to the IGAD Council of Ministers on the matter as soon as possible.  

The workshop demonstrated that IGAD, one of the weakest economic communities in Africa, is determined to change its status. Ethiopia, as the current chair, is committed to contributing to IGAD’s revitalization and effectiveness during its chairmanship of the organization.   

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Despite all the friendly gestures and peaceful overtures that Ethiopia displayed towards Eritrea after 1991, the unbridled militarism and bullying tendencies of the Eritrean regime have stood in the way of Ethiopia’s efforts for peace and stability.  Eritrea’s willingness to experiment with the use of military power to arm-twist neighboring countries into meeting its demands was what forced Ethiopia into the war in the first place in May 1998. Even today, almost a decade after the ceasefire, the Eritrean Government has left no stone unturned to try to draw Ethiopia into another round of war by numerous subversive activities aimed at derailing Ethiopia’s development. Eritrea not only arms dozens of anti-peace elements to try to wreak havoc in the country, it has also attempted to sabotage stability and create chaos in the country. All the way through, Ethiopia has chosen to stick to its pacific stance. The fact that the Government has consistently expressed its willingness to enter into dialogue with the Eritrean leadership without any preconditions is a testament to its unwavering stand for peace and the peaceful resolution of all disputes. 

Similarly, on Somalia, Ethiopia has been consistently following an agenda primarily focused on ensuring lasting peace and reconciliation among Somalis. Since the EPRDF government took power in the early 1990s, Ethiopia has hosted nearly a dozen conferences aimed at bringing the different Somali factions and clans together for them to hammer out a lasting and workable solution to their predicament. Meaningful success has been elusive. Among other things the refusal of various Somali factions to take their responsibilities seriously has been a significant obstacle to lasting peace in Somalia. Another factor, if less decisive, has been the interference of external powers for both geopolitical and ideological reasons. This has had a significant role in derailing Somali peace processes.  

In all this, what has been paradoxical has been the dominant narrative of the international media, quick to portray Ethiopia’s role in the sub-region as an extension of the Ethiopia-Somalia wars of the 1970s. It constantly failed to see the reality of Ethiopia’s aims and Ethiopia’s manifest commitment to peace and stability in the region. In this connection some media outlets even went so far as to suggest Ethiopia intervened in Somalia to impress the Americans or to do their bidding. It is far from clear why the international media misses the obvious point that Ethiopia is a pillar for peace in the region and has a strong commitment to the principles of international law governing inter-state relations. Some might attribute all this to Ethiopia’s lack of effectiveness in public relations. There is some truth in this, but it is difficult to assume that this provides a full explanation.  

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          Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia

                     Ministry of Foreign Affairs