A Week in the Horn

      27/06/2008 

  •  No options left for UNMEE

  • UN Security Council again condemns Eritrea's military actions against Djibouti

  • The Somali Peace Process to move to Saudi Arabia

  • There must be more than listening to terrorists and opposition parties

  • MFA reports to the House of  Peoples' Representatives 

·        It is now becoming clear that UNMEE’s formal existence is about to come to an end. Of course,de facto,UNMEE is at present as good as dead already. What the Security Council is debating is how to terminate UNMEE formally. There is a draft resolution which is on the table at the Security Council. Apart from the provision on the termination of UNMEE, which does not appear to be too controversial, the other key provisions relate to a possible mechanism for ensuring a UN presence in the area. Ethiopia has made it clear that any possible UN presence after the demise of UNMEE can not be based on the same principles. This was communicated by the Ethiopian Prime Minister to the Security Council in a letter he sent to the President of the Council on 17 June, 2008. In the same letter, Prime Minister Meles did emphasize the fact that Ethiopia would keep an open mind in terms of cooperating with the UN and the Security Council with respect to a UN presence in Ethiopia in line with principles related to the maintenance of regional peace and security. On the other hand, in a letter addressed to the President of the Security Council, the Eritrean President made it quite clear to the Council that it can not count on the cooperation of Eritrea with respect to future UN engagement or UN presence in the area following the formal termination of UNMEE.There seems to be one serious problem with the on-going debate at the Security Council. In its preambular part, the draft talks about delimitation and demarcation determinations in a rather confusing manner and in a way that would make it difficult to make progress. Ethiopia has repeatedly pointed out that appeasing Eritrea would not ensure progress. 

·        This week the UN Security Council asked the Secretary-General to send a fact-finding mission to the border between Eritrea and Djibouti, to investigate Eritrean incursions into Djibouti territory. A Council statement on Tuesday reiterated its earlier call to both countries, especially Eritrea, to withdraw forces to the status quo ante. It also voiced regret that Eritrea had not seen fit to answer calls made in a June 12 statement in which the Security Council called on both parties, and Eritrea in particular, to commit themselves to a ceasefire, exercise maximum restraint and cooperate with diplomatic efforts to find a peaceful resolution to the crisis. In Tuesday's statement, the Council said Djibouti and Eritrea must facilitate the work of the Secretary-General's fact-finding mission, and asked Secretary-General Ban ki-Moon to report back within two weeks. In a statement to the Council, Djibouti's Prime Minister, Deleita Mohamed Deleita, said Djibouti fully supported the idea of a fact-finding mission. He noted that Eritrea while failing to explain its presence inside Djibouti and refusing to resume any dialogue, had continued to reinforce its troops. The Prime Minister noted that the area concerned is a key point for shipping and is of strategic military importance. Djibouti had originally expressed its concern to the Security Council at the beginning of May after a number of regional initiatives had failed to achieve any Eritrean response. Both the Arab League and the African Union had urged restraint and their respective Peace and Security Councils had sent missions. Neither had been received by Eritrea. It is to be recalled that the recent IGAD Summit held in Addis Ababa had condemned Eritrea for its belligerent attitude towards Djibouti   


 In a typical Eritrean denial of known facts, Eritrea's Permanent Representative to the UN,
Araya Desta, denied any invasion of Djibouti territory, claiming Eritrea had no territorial ambitions in the region. He claimed there had been numerous contacts, including at the highest level, and the leaders had agreed to address the situation calmly but then Djibouti had launched “totally unwarranted, anti-Eritrea hostile campaigns”. He told the Council that the criticism of Eritrea was all unfounded. Far from Eritrea attacking Djibouti, the reverse was the case. For the first time, Eritrea did admit there had been fighting, but this, the ambassador claimed, had been because Djibouti troops had attacked Eritrean units at the border. This, he said, had been at the behest of the US and Ethiopia, and was an attempt to provoke Eritrea.  Council members did not seem to have been impressed with Eritrea's misrepresentations. They demonstrated broad sympathy with Djibouti and expressed strong concern on the need to avoid any escalation of fighting. Most seemed frustrated, and alienated, by Eritrea's actions and its refusal to moderate its behaviour. The Senior Political Advisor to the AU noted that Eritrea still refused to allow entry to the AU assessment and consultation team although Djibouti had done so. A representative of the Arab League said the Arab League had also been unable to get any response from Eritrean officials. The US recalled its support for the June 12 statement and categorized Eritrea as remaining in a hostile military posture towards Djibouti. It suggested the Council should consider measures if Eritrea continued its present course, noting that Eritrea had been a destabilizing factor in Somalia, and had put many obstacles in the way of UNMEE. It was not, however, too late for it to restore its position as a good neighbour. The UK which reiterated the need for acceptance of the June 12 statement that had condemned Eritrea's incursion, also paid tribute to the AU and the Arab League and others for efforts to resolve the issue and urged Eritrea to engage with these activities. France noted the border dispute had now become an international affair and it was essential that Eritrea respected the June 12 statement. Djibouti, it pointed out, had already withdrawn its troops as requested. Eritrea had not. In fact, Security Council members, including Libya, unanimously called on Eritrea to respect the statement of June 12 and respond promptly to it. 

·        The third round of the Somali peace process is expected to resume next week in Jeddah, and then move to Mecca, for the signing of agreements reached at the end of negotiations. It will be recalled that the Transitional Federal Government (TFG) of Somalia and the opposition Alliance for the Re-liberation of Somalia (ARS) signed an agreement on 9 June in which both parties committed themselves to resolve the Somali crisis through peaceful means. Furthermore, the two parties agreed to establish committees to implement the agreement effectively. The details of these have yet to be worked out. Meanwhile, despite numerous calls by different groups in Somalia and the Diaspora, the ARS splinter group, led by Sheikh Hassan Dahir 'Aweys', still based in Asmara continues to reject the peace process. Apparently quoting Eritrea, Sheikh Aweys has called on an 'innocent' Saudi Arabia not to be lured into a process which, amounts to a wishful thinking, and is a waste of time. Sheikh Aweys argues that those trying to make peace in Somalia have the ulterior motive of trying to amass money and power.

     Al-Shabaab terrorists have also continued to try and disrupt support for the peace process. Yesterday, Al-Shabaab attacked an Ugandan contingent from AMISOM forces at KM-4. The Ugandan peacekeepers replied forcefully dislodging their attackers. Al-Shabaab also attacked Daynile police station, killing nine police officers and burning the police station as well as the residence of a member of the TFG parliament. These incidents occurred after Al-Shabaab became aware of the appearance of a peace movement to back implementation of the Djibouti peace accord which was getting the support of local residents. In fact, a strong movement is appearing on the ground in Mogadishu and more widely, in which numerous stakeholders, the TFG, clan leaders and civil society groups, including even Islamic Courts Union sympathizers, have begun to work for the implementation of the Djibouti agreement. The movement poses a clear threat to Al-Shabaab operations and support. It is a clear indication that with the success of the peace accord concluded in Djibouti, people are finally prepared to challenge Al-Shabaab terrorists on the ground. This is also happening on the eve of preparations for the third round negotiations of the peace process, and the movement needs all the support it can get. The international community, all other stakeholders and those who have serious concern for the success of this effort at peace-making in Somalia need to be vigilant and ready to tackle the challenges these terrorist groups pose.

     This week, Somaliland's President Dahir Rayale Kahin paid a visit to Djibouti to express the solidarity of the people of Somaliland, and of his government, with the people and government of Djibouti faced by the recent Eritrean aggression. During his visit the two sides held extensive bilateral discussions on regional and other issues of common concern. They agreed to resume the bilateral relationship that was strained some years earlier. According to the understanding reached, both will open offices in each other's capital cities as soon as possible. 

·         Two weeks ago, Human Rights Watch (HRW) produced a report on human rights in the Somali Regional State of Ethiopia. As we previously noted this report made no effort to address the reality of the situation on the ground. It made no attempt to consult with the Federal Government or, more pertinently, the Somali Regional State Government.  Its allegations were made exclusively on the basis of information collected from exiled supporters of an organization which even HRW has finally admitted has been responsible for numerous human rights abuses in the Somali Regional State. Despite this reluctant admission, HRW gives little hope that any more balanced or accurate reports can be expected in the future. The credibility of its approach to evidence is emphasized by the way it welcomed satellite photographs as a demonstration of support for its claims that the Ethiopian army had been burning villages in the Ogaden. No satellite image can, of course, do anything of the sort. They can demonstrate that a village may have been removed, possibly burnt, but there is no way it can support any claim of responsibility. HWR’s bias against Ethiopia becalms all the more apparent when one takes in to account the fact that there is plenty of evidence that the ONLF has burnt numerous villages belonging to government supporters in recent years.  The facile acceptance of all such allegations with little or no effort to investigate the affiliations of its sources, or their accuracy, is typical of HRW's view of its own role and importance. What is of greater concern is that others accept HRW's own evaluation of its reports, repeating HRW claims without any check on their political aims and intentions. The ONLF has carried out numerous terrorist actions, exemplified, but not limited to murderous slaughter of over seventy Chinese and Ethiopian workers, including women and children, most shot in bed or lining up for breakfast. It has thrown bombs into public gatherings, consistently planted land mines which have blown up civilian vehicles, including buses, assassinated police and government officials and killed clan elders and others critical of its terrorist activities. Little of this makes it into HRW's reports which have consistently concentrated on what ONLF supporters and sympathizers tell it. Of course, it might be possible that for HRW, groups such as the ONLF might not be dangerous terrorist organizations no matter how deeply  they might in fact  carry out terrorism against countries such as Ethiopia because, as David Shinn said in a recent article, these are simply domestic terrorist acts which can not rise to the level of international terrorism to which much greater importance is attached by key actors within the international community. Obviously, HRW can not be counted on as an objective judge of the danger that groups such as the ONLF represent in the Horn of Africa. By the same token, one can assume that HRW has the right kind of mindset to give credence to ONLF’s fabrications. 

·         On Tuesday, Ato Seyoum Mesfin, the Minister of Foreign Affairs presented the ministry's ten month performance report to the House of Peoples’ Representatives. This is a regular requirement for the Minister and indeed for all ministries and government administrative bodies. On this occasion, the report comes at a time when the ministry is deeply involved in the implementation of the civil service program and is engaged in introducing the findings of the "Business Process Re-engineering" (BPR) study. This will bring about significant change in the ministry and the Minister made it clear he attached prime attention to the project. The ministry had therefore assigned “change agents” to provide the necessary manpower to support the process. The ministry is currently working on a draft proclamation, the Foreign Service Proclamation, which would provide firm foundation for the institutional transformation of the Ministry, among other things, by clearly defining the rights and responsibilities of the staff of the Ministry.

      In his report, the Minister highlighted the work that had been done in Addis Ababa and by the forty-two Ethiopian missions abroad, to encourage support abroad for the government strategies of poverty reduction and sustainable development. He said the Ministry had, by its concerted efforts, played a major role in creating the necessary conditions for this. In presenting the report, the Minister also underlined the successes achieved in economic diplomacy over the past ten months, successes that were applauded by the House of Peoples’ Representatives Foreign Affairs Committee in particular and members of parliament more generally.

       In political diplomacy, the ministry had inevitably been forced to concentrate on the activities of Eritrea. Other major regional issues which had been the preoccupation of the Ministry have been the peace in Somalia and other conflict situations in the region. A lot of attention has also been given by the Ministry over the ten months to developing all round cooperation with the countries of the region, states on the African Continent, the Middle East, Asia, Europe and North America.  During the reporting period, the Ministry had responded to the illegal activities of the Eritrean regime in relation to the Algiers Agreement, and the Temporary Security Zone. It had given wide publicity to Eritrea's continual violations of the TSZ and of the whole Algiers Peace Process. It had made clear that the so-called 'virtual demarcation' was no more than a legal nonsense with nothing to do with the Algiers Agreement or the reality of boundary demarcation. The Algiers Agreement, he pointed out, dealt with delimitation and demarcation on the ground not 'virtua'l demarcation. Responding to comments and questions from members of parliament, the Minister said both regional and international organizations had criticized Eritrea on numerous occasions, and he argued that the international community, and particularly the UN, was now duty bound to impose sanctions on the Eritrean regime for its irresponsible behavior towards UNMEE and international peacekeeping. On Somalia, the Minister said there had been encouraging results in the efforts to consolidate Somalia's institutions. He pointed out that it was now clear there was a very real window of opportunity for the Somalia peace process to make real progress. The international community, he underlined, should not miss the opportunity; it was high time to act accordingly. As far as the Ethio-Sudan border was concerned, the Minister pointed out that while the government had embarked on survey activity along the border, it had not yet started any demarcation process. There had been a propaganda campaign against the government launched by elements in the Diaspora claiming that the government had ceded land to Sudan. As the Ministry had made it clear, these allegations were absolutely unfounded. The Minister also noted the vital role Ethiopia is playing in peacekeeping mission activity in Africa. In terms of its contributions to UN peace keeping, Ethiopia stands 7th in the world. It had, the Minister said, demonstrated its sincere commitment and devotion to peace and stability in the region not only in principle but also in practice.

       As for Public Diplomacy, this remained a priority area for the ministry. The ministry had exerted its utmost efforts to build up the image of the country, publicizing the policies and positions of the government on various critical issues. He admitted there had been a problem because of the way the world's most prominent human rights organization and a number of international media outlets had deliberately publicized fabricated stories to tarnish the image of Ethiopia. They had in fact launched what could only be described as a smear campaign against Ethiopia. The Minister emphasized that the Ministry had been explaining and defending government policies and where relevant and necessary challenging errors and misrepresentations. The Minister noted that the Ministry had carried out a lot of activity in "constituency building" in the Diaspora, and had registered tangible results in encouraging Ethiopians, and people of Ethiopian origin living abroad, to provide positive support for the ongoing development efforts in the country.  

      The Foreign, Defense and Security Affairs Standing Committee of the House of Peoples' Representatives welcomed the report, describing it as clear and to the point. The Committee felt the report demonstrated a satisfactory focus of attention and success in most areas of ministerial activity. In his concluding remarks, the Minister expressed his own commitment, and the commitment of the ministry, to increase still further the progress achieved in economic as well as political and public diplomacy.

          Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia

                     Ministry of Foreign Affairs