The Week in the Horn

           11.01.2008               

  • China’s Foreign Minister in Ethiopia

  • Somalia’s new cabinet

  • Ethiopia’s concern over the crisis in Kenya

  • Sudan Armed Forces finally redeploy from Southern Sudan

  • Donald Payne and Human Rights in Eritrea

  • Visits by a UAE minister and a Dutch parliamentary delegation

 

 

The new Somali cabinet was presented to parliament in the absence of President Abdullahi Yusuf who returned to the UK this week to continue the medical treatment he had interrupted to consider cabinet nominations. He is expected to be there for three weeks. He has denied reports that his health has deteriorated, and said that his visit to London had been previously scheduled. En route to the UK, President Abdullahi shared a plane with President Riyale Dahir, the President of the unrecognized state of Somaliland. Although both were in the first class cabin of the plane, according to President Abdullahi, the two did not take the opportunity to hold discussions over the relationship of Somalia and Somaliland. In London this week, when President Abdullahi was asked whether he would be standing in the presidential election due in 2009 when the TFG’s mandate runs out, he said it was too early to discuss the possibility.     

Meanwhile, in Mogadishu, TFG security forces have had another significant success of their own in the operations against Al-Shabaab. In an attack on TFG forces around Gubeta, Al-Shabaab lost 16 of its militants, as well as a number of weapons, including an RPG, and some sophisticated communication equipment. Al-Shabaab acknowledged the losses on its website by noting that its martyrs had been taken to heaven. One TFG fighter died in the clash. The incident was another indication of the improving capacity of the TFG forces to deal successfully with extremists by itself. TFG security forces have been getting training from Rwanda and Ethiopia and from AMISOM units. They are now demonstrating considerable expertise in dealing with those who are bent on trying to destroy the Transitional Federal Institutions by force.  

 

 

During his visit to Asmara, Representative Payne said he believed the US government should put pressure on Ethiopia to implement the demarcation of the Eritrea Ethiopia border. He made no mention of the fact that Ethiopia is fully committed to demarcation and to the need to re-establish the integrity of the Algiers Agreements of December 2000 which have been consistently violated by the Eritrean government’s takeover of the demilitarized Temporary Security Zone and the restrictions imposed on UNMEE. Demarcation remains impossible while Eritrea refuses to restore the capacity of UNMEE or withdraw from the security zone. Representative Payne also said the only solution to the Somali conflict was the withdrawal of Ethiopian troops. He made no reference to the need to increase the deployment of AMISOM or for greater support from the international community for the recognized and legitimate government of Somalia. Indeed, while in Asmara, Representative Payne met with leaders of the Somali opposition group, the Alliance for the Re-Liberation of Somalia. Eritrea currently supports the Alliance for the Re-Liberation of Somalia as well as the Somali terrorist group, Al-Shabaab, to which the Alliance is linked. Eritrea, of course, does not confine its support for opposition movements to Somalia, but also backs opposition groups in Sudan and Ethiopia. As part of persistent efforts to destabilize Ethiopia, Eritrea has created and supports a number of Ethiopian opposition movements involved in armed struggle, including the Oromo Liberation Front and the Ogaden National Liberation Movement which have carried out terrorist activities in Ethiopia, including the ONLF’s massacre of 74 Chinese and Ethiopian workers at an oil exploration camp last April. Last week, at the ONLF’s behest, Ogaden Communities in Europe sent an open letter to the Malaysian company, Petronas, demanding it immediately stop all activities in the Somali Regional State, calling any deals it had signed with the government of Ethiopia “illegal and shady”. In Sudan, Eritrea has organized, and consistently supported, the Eastern Front. The leaders of many of these movements are resident in Asmara; others visit frequently. Eritrea provides military and financial support as well as training and weaponry, and tightly controls their activities.  

As the US Administration is now considering placing Eritrea on the list of countries supporting terrorism, Representative Payne will no doubt have raised Eritrea’s international activities with President Issayas. Among these activities is also Eritrea’s support for the Ethiopian opposition Alliance for Freedom and Democracy. This alliance, which involved both the Campaign for Unity and Democracy (CUD) and the ONLF, as well as the OLF, is organized and funded by Eritrea. It is also an organization which has been largely responsible for lobbying on behalf of Representative Payne’s HR 2003 bill. A New York Times article (Giuliani’s Firm Lobbied for Bill Considered Threat 4.12.2007) drew attention to the success of Giuliani’s Law Office in persuading the House Foreign Affairs Committee to insert suggestions into the bill on behalf of the Alliance and the CUD. It again links terrorist organizations with Eritrea and with HR2003.  Representative Payne continuously and completely fails to notice Eritrea’s activities in support of regional destabilization or its human rights record which by any standards is easily the worst in the Horn of Africa. His visit, and the warm welcome he received from President Issayas, makes it difficult to accept that Representative Payne’s interest in human rights in Ethiopia can be seen as impartial, accurate or balanced.  

 

                                                      

   

       Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia

                     Ministry of Foreign Affairs