A Week in the Horn
(19.12.2009)


  • The International Contact Group on Somalia reiterates IGAD’s position

The International Contact Group (ICG) held its 16th meeting at the Organization of Islamic Conference hall in Jeddah on Thursday (December 17th). The meeting was chaired by the Special Representative of the UN Secretary-General for Somalia, Ahmedou Ould Abdallah, and attended by the Prime Minister of the Transitional Federal Government (TFG), a number of senior government officials, and representatives of the countries and organizations in the ICG on Somalia. Ethiopia was represented by a delegation led by Dr. Tekeda Alemu, State Minister for Foreign Affairs. The meeting was officially opened by the Secretary General of the OIC, Prof. Ekmeleddin Ihsanoglu, who noted the OIC’s support for all genuine efforts aimed at finding peaceful and lasting solution to Somalia’s crisis. He condemned in the strongest terms possible the recent suicide bombing and the cowardly murder of innocent civilians, students and Ministers, and urged the meeting to send a strong clear message that terrorist activities and violence would never be rewarded. He also underlined that it was incumbent for everyone to continue to work together with the TFG to protect the collective international investment in the interest of regional and international peace and security.  

The SRSG, Mr. Ahmedou Ould Abdallah, noted that the situation in Somalia might appear most discouraging but this, he said, is why “We cannot give up on our moral obligations and responsibilities…. we are in Somalia to help the Government be a more credible partner to its own people, and to the international community and to live in peace with its people and the region”. Mr. Ould Abdallah made it clear that it was important to listen to Somalis and to the voice of the region, IGAD. IGAD is on the front line, exposed to the flow of refugees and insecurity. “We need to listen to and support the African Union which has a physical presence in AMISOM.

The Somali Prime Minister detailed the guiding principles and vision of the TFG, outlining the process of reconciliation and out reach that the TFG is following, the requirements needed for support to the TFG’s security institutions, the mechanisms for coordination between the TFG and the international community and plans for the holding of an international conference. TFG ministers attending the meeting elaborated further on these themes presented to the meeting in four working documents. In the ensuing discussion, Dr. Tekeda Alemu, stressed it would be unfair if the international community placed unrealistic preconditions on assistance for the TFG particularly since its extremist opponents were getting unconditional and well-coordinated support: “We are of the view that the international community has not been as generous and as effective in its support commensurate with the challenges that the TFG faces”. He quoted the Chairperson of IGAD’s recent Ministerial meeting that it was not that difficult to sort out the problems in Somalia as the extremists did not have a popular base. “What is required is determined, effective and consistent support of the international community in various areas, particularly in security”. One element of this is the readiness of the TFG to bring on board all those committed to peace and national reconciliation. More needs to be done in this area, but as the IGAD Ministers highlighted forcefully: “[The] Djibouti Agreement provides the sole basis for continuous reconciliation efforts. In this connection, the Council rejects any attempt aimed at launching new peace initiatives which would ultimately undermine what has been achieved so far”. Dr. Tekeda reminded the meeting of IGAD’s support for the Strategic Plan of the Office of the IGAD Facilitator on Re-Establishing Effective Government Institutions in Somalia (2009-2011), making the TFG the fulcrum of all activities. He said the ICG should now build on the decisions of the IGAD Council and support the TFG both politically and economically in a concrete way. This would allow the government not only to protect itself but also begin to provide services to the population. 

The communiqué issued at the end of the ICG meeting welcomed the direction provided by the government in its working papers, and the progress made in these areas. This increased the confidence of the international community in the TFG’s capacity to deliver. The ICG reiterated its full support for the TFG. It welcomed the TFG’s commitment to continue its outreach efforts to all groups willing to cooperate and which were ready to renounce violence. It encouraged the TFG to continue and expand its efforts. The ICG reiterated IGAD’s position that the Djibouti process is the framework within which all international efforts should be undertaken. It called on all groups and factions to join the Djibouti process and work with the TFG, the legitimate and internationally recognized Government of Somalia. The ICG condemned the continuing violence carried out against Somali civilians by extremists, in particular the suicide bomb attack on the graduation ceremony in Mogadishu on 3 December 2009. It reiterated its full support for the excellent work carried out by AMISOM, appreciating the role of Uganda and Burundi, and called on the international community to provide coordinated and sustained support to build Somali security institutions, including the provision of stipends following completion of training. The ICG welcomed the convening of the newly refocused Joint Security Committee and High Level Committee. It appreciated the TFG’s commitment to fully implement the Djibouti Agreement, and agreed that holding a well-planned international conference, as specified in the Djibouti Agreement, would be an important contribution towards establishing the objectives of the transition process. It also agreed that discussion on transition should be placed within the framework of a longer term recovery effort. The ICG called for the international community to offer practical, and where possible, direct support to the TFG. This would give the TFG the opportunity to demonstrate that it can deliver and be held accountable. The ICG said it believed the international community should make further progress on understanding the requirements of the TFG, and it welcomed the continuing development of the partnership between the TFG and the international community. It deplored the continuing scourge of piracy, welcomed the international maritime presence but recognized the causes of piracy were to be found on land and should be addressed urgently. The ICG noted the call by the TFG for the international community to establish a greater presence in Mogadishu as soon as possible. It welcomed the OIC’s decision to open an office there. In conclusion, it thanked the OIC for arranging the meeting and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia for hosting it. The next ICG meeting will be hosted by the League of Arab States in Cairo at a date to be determined.

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  • Foreign Minister Seyoum talks with Ahlu Sunna wal-Jamma

This week, the spiritual leader of Ahlu Sunna wal-Jamma, Sheikh Mahamud Sheikh Hassan Farah, accompanied by a 14 member delegation visited Addis Ababa, holding discussions with Foreign Minister Seyoum Mesfin last Sunday. Sheikh Mahamud briefed Minister Seyoum on Ahlu Sunna’s aims and objectives. He pointed out the movement’s primary goal was for the different communities in Somalia to live in peaceful coexistence without any one group imposing its will on others. Ahlu Sunna believed in the absolute necessity of promoting good neighborliness in the region. Sheikh Mahamud added that a necessary condition for peace and stability in Somalia and the region was the removal of extremist elements from Somalia, particularly Al-Shabaab.  

Sheikh Mahamud emphasized that Ahlu Sunna fully accepted that the Transitional Federal Government (TFG) has the recognition of the international community, and it must therefore be the basis for all internal and external efforts to bring peace, stability and order to Somalia under the Djibouti Agreement. Any government that excluded extremists is better than no government, and Ahlu Sunna was ready to work with the TFG. At the same time he noted that the agreement signed between Ahlu Sunna and the TFG in Nairobi in June has not worked out as Ahlu Sunna had hoped. He said Ahlu Sunna had confronted Al-Shabaab over 30 times during the last year and had been able to defeat it regularly. Full implementation of the Nairobi agreement would have created conditions to weaken and eventually wipe out Al-Shabaab - Hizbul Islam forces from most of Somalia. He added that Ahlu Sunna was now preparing to hold its first Congress. Once this had been held it would be able to devote all its energies to engage extremists more fully throughout central and south Somalia. 

Sheikh Mahamud said he was dismayed by the apparent emergence of a parallel movement. He hoped the TFG leadership would assist in maintaining the unity of Ahlu Sunna to enable it to co-operate with the TFG more effectively. He appealed to Minister Seyoum for Ethiopian mediation to eliminate any minor differences between the TFG and Ahlu Sunna and to help keep Ahlu Sunna united. Sheikh Mahamud emphasized that Ethiopia could help towards the fulfillment of the common objectives of all Somalis and assist the international community to understand more clearly where its own interests lie.            

Minister Seyoum on his part expressed his appreciation of the stance of Sheikh Mahamud and of Ahlu Sunna towards the TFG, the legitimate government of Somalia born out of the Djibouti process with full support from the international community. He agreed with Ahlu Sunna on the absolute need to promote peaceful co-existence in Somalia and the region, and to remove extremist elements. The Minister acknowledged the existence of problems within Ahlu Sunna and in its relations with the TFG but made it clear he thought these were not basic differences and that they could easily be resolved by negotiation and compromise. He said it was the philosophy of Ahlu Sunna, based on tolerance and moderation, which united all Somalis. The opposite view was that of Al-Shabaab and Hizbul Islam which not only promoted extremism but was also closely linked to international Jihadist movements and “spoilers”, in particular, Al Qaeda. The ideology of extremism was the primary cause of the lack of peace and stability in Somalia today, and posed increasing threats to the region and beyond. 

Minister Seyoum emphasized the need for Ahlu Sunna to work with the TFG. The Government of Ethiopia, he said, would assist in any way to bring unity to Ahlu Sunna, and encourage cooperation with the TFG so they could face the common challenge from extremism together. He noted if existing minor differences between the TFG and Ahlu Sunna were allowed to widen, it would create more opportunities for Al-Shabaab and Hizbul Islam, and also lead to further difficulties for Ethiopia, the region and the International Community, making it harder to assist Somalia to reach peace and stability. 

Meanwhile, a meeting of the Defense Ministers of AMISOM troop contributing countries and their partners was held on Monday, in Addis Ababa. Chaired by AU Commissioner for Peace and Security, Ambassador Ramtane Lamamra, the Defense Ministers of Uganda and Burundi and the Somali Minister of National Security were joined by representatives of the United Nations, the League of Arab States, the European Union, the Chair of IGAD Partners’ Forum, permanent representatives of the UN Security Council, Ethiopia, Libya and Djibouti. The newly appointed Special Representative of the Chairperson of the AU for Somalia, Ambassador Diarra Boubacar Gaoussou, was introduced to the meeting which discussed recent developments in Somalia, strongly condemning the recent suicide bombing in Mogadishu, and paying tribute to those who lost their lives. It discussed yesterday’s International Contact Meeting in Jeddah which provided the TFG with an opportunity to highlight its proposed progress towards achieving peace and stability in Somalia. The meeting noted the continued inability of AMISOM to reach its authorized strength and urged that recruitment and training programs of the Somali security forces be further encouraged, emphasizing the need to train, equip, sustain and retain these adequately. It proposed a study of the new requirements necessary for AMISOM, including training for Somali security forces. The meeting also noted the operational limitations on AMISOM’s maritime and air defense capabilities and called for assistance in building these up. It also called on those countries which had yet to fulfill their Brussels’ pledges to do so urgently. The EU confirmed payment of Euro 5.4 million to AMISOM troop contributing countries and announced that a further instalment of Euro 30 million would follow shortly. The meeting expressed its appreciation to the troop contributing countries for their commitment to peace in Somalia, and encouraged Djibouti and other states to deploy promised contingents to AMISOM as soon as possible.

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  • The Copenhagen Conference enters the last phase

The Copenhagen Conference on Climate Change opened last week to try to produce a comprehensive deal on a range of issues on global warming. Rumors of deadlock were rife from day one, with major sticking points emerging over the most critical and contentious issues, among them how much money developing and vulnerable nations needed to adapt to rising seas, drought and floods, over the costs of reducing carbon emissions, over the acceptable temperature rises and other issues. There was speculation that the Copenhagen negotiations might simply collapse.  

The talks finally took a more promising turn on Wednesday when Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, on behalf of the African Union, outlined details of a proposal aimed at breaking the impasse. This envisaged the formation of a new climate funding mechanism that would see poorer nations receive $50bn a year from 2015 and $100bn a year from 2020 to help them invest in low carbon technologies and climate adaptation measures. For the short-term financing, Prime Minister Meles suggested a trust fund, jointly administered by donor and recipient nations, should manage the money, and that 40 percent be earmarked for Africa. At least half the long-term fund should be allocated for adaptation in "vulnerable and poor countries and regions such as Africa and the small island states.” Every one of us knows that Africa has contributed virtually nothing to global warming but has been hit first and hardest," he said.  

Prime Minister Meles also proposed the formation of a new commission to report next year on how the increased funding should be raised. The proposed commission would have a governance structure giving developing nations an equal say in the decision making process affecting the allocation of funds. The fund, he added, could be financed through "creative financing mechanisms" such as a carbon tax, the global auction of emission rights, a Tobin tax on bank transactions or a tax on commercial air traffic and shipping.  

The proposal, which was in line with plans put forward by a number of industrialized nations, including the UK, was well received, among others, by Japan, Australia, India and Brazil. The UK’s Lord Stern called the proposal "strong and reasonable" and said the rich countries should “give their strong support to the Meles plan, which has been put forward by an African leader with the interests of developing countries at its heart." According to The Guardian, UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown also said that Meles' proposals were an important step forward and his ideas were a "framework within which developed and developing countries can work together".

Senator Hillary Clinton announced the US commitment to contribute its “fair share” to the establishment of a US$ 100 Billion per annum funding to meet the demands of developing and vulnerable countries for adaptation to climate change.  

Reactions among NGOs varied. Greenpeace, for example, welcomed the proposal, saying it "injected hope into the stalling Copenhagen negotiations", and suggested that it would increase pressure on President Obama to recognize the need for long-term funding. Others expressed disappointment arguing that the amounts involved were simply insufficient. Prime Minister Meles acknowledged that the proposal "would disappoint those Africans who from the point of view of justice have asked for full compensation for the damage done to our development prospects". However, he insisted this compromise plan represented the best chance of a deal being done, adding that under the proposal poorer nations would be guaranteed a say in how the money is distributed. He accepted that it scaled back expectations of the level of funding in but the return would be more reliable funding and a seat at the table in the management of such funds. “Because we stand to lose more than others”, he said, “we have to be flexible." In lopsided negotiations such as those in Copenhagen—where desperately poor nations are pitted against highly entrenched interests of the developed world - questions of justice are invariably met with cynicism at best and outright rejection at worst. At the end of the day, politics is the art of the possible—not an exercise in futility. 

Deliberations at Copenhagen continue as we go to press, but whatever the final result, it is clear that the African delegates discharged their responsibility in a manner that will secure the best outcome for Africa under the circumstances. No matter what the outcome, Africa has played a significant and important role in moving negotiations forward. This is exactly what the Africa Union Committee of Heads of State and Government on Climate Change (CAHOSCC) affirmed yesterday when it reiterated Africa’s common position at the negotiations and also expressed the continued confidence of Africa’s leaders in the leadership role of Prime Minister Meles and their “appreciation for his commitment and dedication.”

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  • Visit of Namibia’s Foreign Minister to Ethiopia

The Honorable Marco Hausiku, Foreign Minister of the Republic of Namibia has been on an official visit to Ethiopia this week. His visit was a continuation of the exchange of high level visits between the two countries since the first official visit by Foreign Minister Seyoum Mesfin to Namibia in 2007. Minister Hausiku held talks on Tuesday with Ato Seyoum Mesfin on wide-ranging issues of bilateral cooperation. Their discussions covered economic and technical investment issues, trade, air links, culture, tourism and foreign relations. The two sides reviewed the implementation of existing cooperation agreements and explored new areas for further cooperation for the mutual benefit of both countries. They agreed to set up a Joint Ministerial Commission to fully implement existing cooperation agreements and to work together to identify additional potential areas of cooperation to expand their bilateral relations. They further agreed to expedite the signing of cooperation agreements in the areas of investment and trade as well as to prepare draft cooperation agreements for signature.  

Minister Marco Hausiku was received in audience by President Girma Wolde-Giorgis, and by Prime Minister Meles Zenawi. He also held meetings with the Minister of Culture and Tourism and the Chief Executive Officer of the Ethiopian Airlines as well as briefing African Resident Ambassadors on the current situation in Namibia and exchanging views on issues of importance to Africa. He visited historic sites in Amhara Regional State as well as museums and flower farms in and around Addis Ababa. The Namibian Foreign Minister was guest of honor at a dinner hosted by Minister Seyoum on Tuesday.

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  • Ethiopia’s human rights record peer-reviewed at the Human Rights Council

The sixth session of the UN Human Rights Council’s Working Group on Universal Periodic Review, held from 30 November -11 December 2009, reviewed the human rights record of a number of countries including Ethiopia. The review involved an interactive dialogue between members and observers of the Council, and covered issues incorporated in Ethiopia’s national report, a compilation of relevant documents from human rights treaty bodies and a summary of contributions from other stakeholders including NGOs. The Ethiopian delegation was led by Ambassador Fisseha Yimer, special advisor to the Minister of Foreign of Affairs of Ethiopia. In his opening statement, Ambassador Fisseha introduced the report and outlined the various steps taken by the government to fully implement its human rights obligations under international human rights law.  In the interactive dialogue that followed, held in an atmosphere of constructive and open discussion, 53 states including both members and observers of the Human Rights Council took the floor to discuss Ethiopia’s first report under the Universal Periodic Review. In addition to commenting on the country’s report and raising questions, several countries put forward recommendations. 

A great majority of these states commended Ethiopia’s progress in legislative reform, its institutional capacity building and the economic reform programs which had sparked recent sustained economic growth. China noted various achievements in promotion and protection of human rights particularly in the area of economic development which helped the realization of socio-economic rights. The United Kingdom expressed satisfaction at ‘the priority the Government has given to the Millennium Development Goals, including the progress made in establishing free and universal primary education.’ Morocco applauded Ethiopia’s federal system which, it argued, guaranteed the protection of the rights of the country’s various ethnic groups and minorities. Norway stated its appreciation of Ethiopia’s cooperation with UN human rights bodies and highlighted positive developments including the National Action Plan on Gender Equality as well as federal laws relevant to the rights of women. India welcomed the attention the Government has paid to technical and vocation training in education, and the encouraging results achieved with respect to the provision of credit for Micro and Small Scale Enterprises. Many other states commended various positive developments and offered recommendations to further strengthening these gains. 

A total of 139 recommendations were provided during the interactive dialogue. The Ethiopian delegation announced its immediate acceptance of 98 of the recommendations. Only a handful didn’t get the support of the delegation which said it would reply to some recommendations before the upcoming session of the Human Rights Council. Among the most commonly cited recommendations were ratification of additional human rights instruments, the strengthening of national human rights institutions, protection of vulnerable groups such as women and children from harmful traditional practices, protection of the rights of human rights defenders and journalists, promotion of human rights education and training, and international cooperation and assistance.

The Ethiopian delegation held several closed meetings with members of the Troika (Italy, Chile and Kyrgyzstan) to iron out the details of the recommendations and finalize the working group’s report. In its final meeting, held on 11 December, the Chairperson of the Troika, Ambassador Laura Mirachian of Italy, introduced the report. In her brief summary of the review process, the Ambassador noted that the work of the Troika had been conducted in a constructive and friendly atmosphere. She stated that the participation of a large number of states in the review process was indicative of the serious interest countries took in human rights developments in Ethiopia. She expressed appreciation for Ethiopia’s commitment to the promotion and protection of human rights, and particularly welcomed Ethiopia’s acceptance of the great majority of the recommendations. In his concluding remarks, Ambassador Fisseha commended the delegations which had taken the floor to support Ethiopia’s efforts to implement the report. He promised all outstanding questions would be answered in writing before the 13th session of the Human Rights Session in March 2010. The plenary of the Human Rights Council is expected to adopt the Report of the Working Group in its forthcoming session.

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  • Ensuring the Integrity of Elections in 2010: Is Addis Neger’s self-closure part of an anti-government campaign?

The role of an independent media in the development of good governance and democratic political culture cannot be overstated. Since the promulgation in 1992 of the country’s first Press Law, Ethiopia has had a multiplicity of private newspapers, many, but not all, contributing to the development of a democratic culture. At times, press freedom has been used as an excuse for freedom to sabotage the very political process some papers claimed to support. Some newspapers masqueraded as champions of media independence and other democratic values while riding roughshod over the Constitution which forms the basis for the entire process. There was an all-too-frequent lack of professionalism and some of the press failed to play the role that might have been expected in advancing the basic tenets of democracy and good governance. Some papers and magazines have folded, others have replaced them. The number of press products in the marketplace remains impressive.  

Any real analysis of the situation of the press is complicated. Organizations like Reporters Without Borders and the International Press Institute make immediate assumptions that any government action in response to violations of the law by media bodies, however legitimate or legal, can only be seen as acts of persecution, intended to suppress dissent. Even self-exiled agents of the ‘free press’ are automatically presented to the international media with appropriate fanfare as champions of “press freedom”. Whatever their real reasons for departure, newspaper editors and journalists who leave Ethiopia are immediately described as “victims of persecution”, a description of course that automatically enhances their prospects of asylum and reinforces any claims that they might make on their own behalf.  

The latest example of this has been the case of Addis Neger, a two-year old Amharic weekly. Its editors recently claimed to have closed the paper down and fled from Ethiopia because they “they feared persecution and intimidation” by the Government. Addis Neger was certainly one of the most widely read newspapers in the country and was well known for its scathing criticisms of the Government, but as Reporters Without Borders knows well it has not been the only media outlet critical of the Government, nor the most outspoken. In fact, the assumption that allegations of persecution must be true, simply because the editors claim to have fled the country out of fear, does actually present some difficulties. Addis Neger, which has always claimed to be a hundred percent behind the truth, certainly called for a change of government, but this did not constitute a crime. Despite its political line, as the editors know well, Addis Neger never faced anything in the way of an official government complaint much less any sort of persecution that could give rise to the “flight” of its editors. Indeed, its editors actually said as much on TV only a few weeks earlier. In a TV documentary which included interviews with many other editors and journalists, from both government and independent media, they stated they had never been subject to any form of censorship by the government nor had the government ever tried to interfere in their press activities. There was no mention of any harassment. Surprisingly, too, for champions of the ‘free press’, the editors claim they finally decided to leave only after they heard that a TV documentary was about to portray them negatively. They also claimed that un-named but “reliable” sources said the Government was preparing charges against them. At least one of the editorial board actually left on a scholarship to the US. Even after their departure, the paper continued to publish for another three weeks before it folded. Incidentally, the editors’ “flight” took place a month before they made their statements to the international media. One might also wonder why a government apparently determined to devote so much time and energy to threatening the editors of Addis Neger should, when it came to the point, so easily allow the group to leave without difficulty. 

All of this raises the question of exactly what might lie behind such a carefully orchestrated performance, besides the obvious aim of providing evidence for asylum claims. Given the critical politics of the Addis Neger editorial board, it seems likely that the forthcoming elections might have some relevance, and certainly this has been raised by Addis Neger’s foreign supporters. Addis Neger ceased publication at the end of November; and it was on December 8 that the National Electoral Board (a frequent target of Addis Neger criticisms) announced the start of the election campaign. Voting takes place next May. A US Embassy statement claimed that the closure might contribute to a perception that independent media space in Ethiopia was being constrained, and Reporters Without Borders said the decision by the editors of Addis Neger to close down and flee was evidence of “a climate of fear”. As Prime Minister Meles noted, it is difficult to take such claims seriously if only because Reporters Without Borders always assumes all such claims are true and never bothers to try and verify such claims. 

There are roughly two schools of thought regarding the elections and the role the opposition should play. One holds that there is a lot that can and should be done to make the elections free and fair, and places much emphasis on the outcome of what will be a democratic exercise. The recent Code of Conduct signed by four parties and endorsed by almost all other parties, was one development pointing in the right direction. Addis Neger, it might be noted, was clearly unhappy about the recent inter-party dialogue which led to the signing of the Code of Conduct. The second approach sees the election in May as acceptable only if it results in the removal of the incumbent. Proponents believe that if they cannot have their own way, then they should do everything in their power to deny the electoral process a legitimacy which they apparently believe (quite wrongly) to be in their power to confer or withdraw at will. Their stated approach is to try to discredit any and all of the Government’s democratic credentials.  

A perusal of Addis Neger’s output demonstrates a close similarity of tone. It can hardly have been a coincidence. It suggests the self-closure of Addis Neger might be part of a bigger game-plan by opposition groups designed to try and discredit the electoral process in advance, an element in a smear campaign against government action over the next few months. Prime Minister Meles suggested it might even be part of a wider effort to try and resurrect the idea of a “color revolution” in Ethiopia. If so, similar allegations can be expected to be made in the next few months. Other journalists can be expected to appear to make similar unfounded allegations. The only surprise, then, about the closure of Addis Neger is the timing. It appears to have been premature. A greater impact might have been expected had the editors waited another couple of months or so.

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          Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia

                     Ministry of Foreign Affairs