A Week in the Horn

           18/04/2008 

  • The UN Security Council should go beyond condemning Eritrea.

  • Ethiopia and Eritrea disagree over COMESA’a Peace and Security Committee report

  • UN Security Council debates partnership with the African Union

  • Prime Minister Meles Zenawi and President  Abdullahi Yusuf meet in New York

  • Elections in Ethiopia and Italy

  • Human Rights Watch and the political agenda of human rights.

  • Aljazeera’s propaganda for a terrorist organization

  • As the United Nations Security Council slowly considers taking action on Eritrea’s violations of the Algiers Agreement and the United Nations Charter, it must bear in mind at least three fundamental issues. Firstly, Ethiopia expects the Council to base its consideration on the fundamental obligations Ethiopia and Eritrea assumed under the Algiers Agreement on Cessation of Hostilities of June 18th 2000. Under this Agreement the two countries agreed to put an end to hostilities; guarantee the free movement and access of the Peacekeeping Mission and its supplies as required through the territories of both parties; and to respect and protect the members of the Peacekeeping Mission, its installations and equipment. The two parties also agreed that the mandate of the Peacekeeping Mission shall include ensuring the observance of the security commitments by the parties and monitoring the Temporary Security Zone, a distance of 25 km (artillery range) from positions to which Ethiopian forces redeployed in accordance with paragraph 9 of the Agreement. The Agreement further provided that this Zone of separation was intended to contribute to the reduction of tension and to the establishment of a climate of calm and confidence, as well as to create conditions conducive to a comprehensive and lasting settlement of the conflict through the delimitation and demarcation of the border. Ethiopia and Eritrea agreed that the UN Security Council should take measures against any one or both of the Parties violating the integrity of the Zone, including appropriate measures to be taken under Chapter VII of the United Nations Charter.

This directly leads to the second point that should inform any consideration of Security Council action, the conditions for demarcation of the international boundary which arise out of this. Ethiopia has accepted the delimitation decision of the EEBC without precondition and expressed readiness to embark on the demarcation exercise in accordance with accepted international practice. This is not a precondition for demarcation but as the necessary part of any valid demarcation exercise. Once the EEBC ended its activity, it has become even more imperative for the two sides to find ways to physically implement the delimitation decision as directed by the Security Council Resolution 1798(2008). Physical demarcation, however, is only practical once the obligations above are fully met, particularly with reference to UNMEE. It should be recalled that surveyors and other experts of the Boundary Commission always insisted on the necessity of UNMEE guaranteeing a safe environment for the demarcation teams to be deployed along the border. It goes without saying that the full restoration of the Agreement on Cessation Hostilities is necessary for a comprehensive and lasting settlement of the conflict through the delimitation and demarcation of the border. The Council should bear in mind that the feasibility of the physical demarcation is directly affected by the continued viability of the Agreement on Cessation of Hostilities and the role of UNMEE.  

The third and equally important issue to be weighed seriously is the treatment Eritrea has meted out to UNMEE. Ethiopia has emphasized to the Security Council the need to take punitive measures against Eritrea for this humiliation of UNMEE and for putting the safety of its personnel at grave risk. The Security Council and the Secretary General have given this matter attention. The Council has condemned Eritrea’s actions. If the Council makes good on its promises to take appropriate measures against Eritrea, this should ensure that Eritrea’s actions are not taken as any precedent. Certainly, resolute action should be considered in the context of the gravity of Eritrea’s illegal actions. The Council should consider action against the backdrop of Eritrea’s breaches of the Temporary Security Zone. These are blatant violations of the United Nations Charter and the Agreement on Cessation of Hostilities. The Council cannot afford to make a general condemnation of Eritrea yet again without backing its stance with meaningful and punitive measures. Eritrea should not be emboldened to believe that it can commit such egregious violations of international law with impunity.  

  • This week, the Committee for Peace and Security of COMESA, the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa, held its ninth meeting at the Mulungushi International Conference Center in Lusaka, Zambia. A senior-level officials meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday was attended by delegates representing all COMESA member countries, including Ethiopia, whose delegation was headed by Desselegn Alemu, acting head of the International Oganizations Directorate-General. The theme of the meeting was: Consolidating Regional Economic Integration through Value Addition, Trade and Food Security, but during its two-day deliberations, the Committee also examined a report from the COMESA Secretariat on the peace and security situation in the region over the last nine months. The report was adopted with only minor modifications and amendments except for the item covering the Eritrea Ethiopia boundary dispute. The views of the two parties were so far apart that this section of the report had to be attached as an annex to the final document.

In fact, the report failed to cover the more recent developments. It included no reference to Eritrea’s continued violations of the June 2000 Cessation of Hostilities Agreement, or Eritrea’s responsibility for the enforced withdrawal of UNMEE from the Temporary Security Zone (TSZ). The Ethiopian delegation emphasized that the critical focus of the report had to rest on these major issues rather than anything else. The delegation also brought to the attention of the committee the recent report of the UN Secretary-General on the situation and future of UNMEE, issued last week. The Eritrean delegation, attempting to divert attention from these outstanding issues, argued that there was no border dispute as the boundary had been ‘virtually demarcated’ in accordance with the decision of the boundary commission (EEBC). It claimed that the “the so-called” UNMEE was sitting on sovereign Eritrean territory, namely the Temporary Security Zone, and that it was irrelevant and there was no need for any monitoring of the border; its removal from the TSZ was tangential in the eyes of the Eritrean Government, and hence justified. The delegation further claimed the issue had no relevance for the COMESA Peace and Security committee.  

The next meeting of the COMESA Policy Organs, including Ministerial and Summit levels, was scheduled to take place at Victoria Falls in Zimbabwe, at the beginning of May under Kenya’s chairmanship. It has, however, now been postponed to an unspecified later date due to “prevailing political situation in Zimbabwe.”  

  • The United Nations Security Council met on Wednesday to consider a report of the Secretary General on “The relationship between the United Nations and regional organizations, in particular the African Union, in the maintenance of international peace and security”.  This month’s Security Council Presidency is held by South Africa. Speaking on the occasion, the current Chairman of the African Union, Jakaya Kikwete, President of the United Republic of Tanzania said partnership with the United Nations was essential for the effective implementation of the African Union’s peace and security agenda.  He noted the need for Africa to take action to respond to the conflicts in Africa, and emphasized the need to build up the capacities of regional organizations.

The Chairman of the Commission of the African Union, Professor Alpha Oumar Konare agreed that the responsibility for peace on the continent was first and foremost, Africa’s, and, underlined the need to build up capacity to strengthen the African Union’s new peace and security architecture. Ethiopia’s Prime Minister, Meles Zenawi, said that African issues constituted a very significant part of the Security Council’s deliberations, and pointed out that there was a lot of room for fruitful collaboration between the United Nations and the African Union, particularly in light of the Security Council’s prime responsibility for maintaining international peace and security. The Prime Minister welcomed the Secretary-General’s report, particularly his proposal to establish a joint UN/AU panel to ensure predictable, sustainable and flexible funding for African Union peace operations. He urged the Council to consider the recommendations for such a panel quickly. Equally, as such a proposal would take some time to implement, he urged the Council in the meantime to support the African Union’s peace keeping operations, particularly in Somalia. He pointed out that the African Union was unable to deploy a full contingent of peacekeepers in Somalia because of the lack of funding. With Security Council support, however, the African Union  would be better able to support the people and Government of Somalia in their search for peace. UN Secretary-General, Ban Ki-moon, describing the relationship between the United Nations and the African Union as strong and broad, said that he would spare no effort in making their partnership complementary, effective and inclusive. At the end of the Security Council’s day-long debate, the Council recognized the need to enhance financing of regional organizations’ peacekeeping operations under a United Nations mandate. It therefore endorsed the Secretary-General’s proposal to set up, within three months, an African Union-United Nations panel to consider the modalities of such support. Resolution 1809 (2008) was adopted unanimously. 

  • The following day, a joint meeting of the African Union Peace and Security Council and the United Nations Security Council was held, co-chaired by South Africa and Ethiopia, represented by Ambassador Sahle Work Zewde. Carrying on from the previous day’s debate, the delegates continued the discussion on effective ways to strengthen cooperation and coordination between the UN Security Council and the AU Peace and Security Council. Speakers emphasized the need to share experiences, commending the increasingly important role of the African Union peace keeping operations. The need to coordinate and harmonize decisions was agreed. The different respective advantages of the two bodies were underlined. The AU has the comparative advantage of detailed knowledge of African conflicts; the United Nation’ advantage is the availability of resources to support such efforts. Together, they can enhance the overall role of the international community in maintaining peace and security.

Another item on the agenda involved a review of African conflicts in Sudan, Somalia, Democratic Republic of the Congo and Cote d’Ivoire. On the Sudan, discussion focused on the necessity for full implementation of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA), and on the need to fully deploy UNAMID. The need to re-energizing the political process in Darfur was emphasized. On Somalia, some delegates felt that the step by step approach and progressive involvement of the United Nations was acceptable; others questioned why the experience of the African Mission in Sudan could not be applied to AMISOM. There was agreement that all threats to international peace and security should be treated in the same way; and that strengthening AMISOM could be a testing ground for the partnership between the African Union and the United Nations. In response to whether UN peacekeepers should be deployed in Somalia before there was peace, the example of Lebanon was provided as a case where the UN has been deployed while conflict continued.  

  • On the same day, Ambassador Sahle Work Zewde in her capacity as Chair of the Peace and Security Council of the African Union, briefed the newly established 31 member Peacebuilding Commission (PBC) of the UN on the implementation of the Post Conflict Reconstruction and Development Policy (PCRDP) of the African Union. She said the African Union has conducted workshops, as recently in Lusaka, to increase awareness about policy at the Regional Economic Community level. She noted that one of the key challenges to the implementation of the PCRDP is financial constraint. The Chair of the Peace building Commission, the Permanent Representative of Japan to the United Nations, said that the PBC was actively engaged in supporting post-conflict peace building efforts. He emphasized that as the first three countries under consideration by the Commission, Burundi, Sierra Leone and Guinea-Bissau, were all in Africa, there was an obvious need to harmonize the work of the AU’s PCRDP and the PBC.                

  • Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, attending the Joint UNSC and AU PSC meeting in New York, met and held discussions with President Abdullahi Yusuf earlier this week. The President detailed  efforts  for the provision of capacity building and in the strengthening as well as restructuring of the TFG’s security institutions. He emphasized the positive progress achieved in the internal reconciliation process as well as with opposition groups. In a statement he delivered to the UN/AU meeting, President Abdullahi underlined three important ingredients for the solution of the problems of  Somalia. These included re-establishing the collapsed Somali State, and furthering the reconciliation process, as well as stabilizing the security situation. The President called on the UN Security Council to lift the arms embargo on Somalia fully, to authorize the deployment of a UN Peacekeeping force to assist in achieving full reconciliation and stabilization, and establish the security organs of government including the police, as well as help in disarmament and the establishment of a durable peace. He also asked the international community to do more in helping Somalia protect its shores from piracy.

Meanwhile, in Djibouti, Sheikh Sharif, the chairman of the Asmara based Alliance for the Re-Liberation of Somalia (ARS) has been meeting with members of the Hawiye Leadership Council. This is in part an attempt to strengthen his own position within a divided ARS which has only limited support on the ground, though it does have links to some  terrorists groups in Mogadishu. In fact, ever since Prime Minister Nur ‘Adde’ announced his aim for national reconciliation, there has been a division among members of the ARS. There have also been efforts among elements of the international community to patch up these divisions. At the same time there are concerns over what the response of Asmara might be if and when the ARS opens negotiations with the TFG. Questions have been raised as to whether Asmara can be seen as a credible actor in peace making while it is also working to undermine the Government of Somalia by harboring terrorist groups. It is difficult to see how Asmara can support reconciliation if it continues to work against peace and stability in Somalia. In fact, because of its links with Asmara, the ARS has been given unnecessary weight in terms of peace making and reconciliation. Indeed, because of its lack of support on the ground, it is now trying to ally with the Hawye Leadership Council. The HLC claims to represent the Hawiye as a whole, although in fact it represents only a handful of business interests and a few politicians from some of the sub-clans within the Hawiye. It is doubtful if this attempt by two weak organizations can add much value towards stabilizing Somalia.   

In Mogadishu, the TFG cabinet is expected to hold a meeting tomorrow to endorse the Draft Budget for 2008. It will also announce the modalities for establishing the Benadir Council through broad based participation of the inhabitants of the region. It is also expected to discuss the situation in Beletweyn, and Jowhar, and come up with a solution acceptable to the inhabitants living in these areas. The cabinet has made it clear this will be done in full consultation with members of parliament and elders.    

  • The centre–right alliance headed by Mr. Silvio Berlusconi won Italy’s parliamentary election held on April 13 and 14, 2008. Mr.Silivio Berlusconi’s party, and its ally, the Northern League, won 46.81 percent of the popular vote in the Lower House of Parliament and 47.32 percent in the Senate while the center-left coalition won 37.54 in the Lower House of the Parliament and 38.01 percent in the Senate. Mr. Berlusconi, who served as Prime Minister from 1994-96 and 2001-2006, has been the longest serving Italian Prime Minister since World War II. It is also to be recalled that Prime Minister Meles Zenawi visited Italy in November 2004 and held discussions with Mr. Berlusconi during his previous period in office. During that visit the two countries signed five agreements which included the return of the Axum Obelisk, a soft loan agreement of 220 Million Euro for the construction of the Gilgel Gibe II dam, and debt cancellations amounting to 432 million USD. Ethiopia is confident that the current excellent relations in trade, investment and development co-operation will continue to be strengthened under Mr. Berlusconi’s new period in office.        

  • Ethiopians will poll again in their millions this Sunday in the second round of local and parliamentary by-elections.  Last week’s turnout has been estimated by the National Electoral Board as about 90 percent of the registered 26 million voters. Over 30 parties are contesting seats in all the regional states at various levels, and over four million candidates are vying for seats.  The size of registration and the substantial turnout demonstrate the determination of people to exercise their democratic rights. Scepticism about public participation has been proved groundless. The whole electoral process was fair and peaceful.  In the run up to the elections, contending parties were allotted airtime and space in print media.  One opposition party, claiming alleged intimidation, withdrew from the electoral process shortly before the vote. Another withdrew before the second round. National Electoral Board Chairman, Dr. Merga Bekana, described boycotting the elections in the middle of the process as "unhealthy and illegal".  He said the parties had been unable to produce convincing evidence of their claims. They had failed to gain sufficient support, but rather than put the blame on others they should have concentrated on improving their own position and leaving the final judgment to the people. Grievances arising from the electoral process will be addressed according to the electoral laws.  

  • A week ago, Human Rights Watch (HRW) produced a highly critical report on Ethiopia's electoral process. The HRW statement came out a couple days before voting took place last Sunday for the city council, kebele and parliamentary by-elections; the second round for kebele elections will take place this coming Sunday. The title, “Repression has set the stage for non-competitive elections”, made it clear the statement was deliberately intended to influence voting. It is not the first time HRW has done this. It did precisely the same thing a few days before the national elections in May 2005. In both cases, HRW’s comments were based on alleged field research in exactly the same areas, in one region only. Indeed, the reports use exactly the same terminology. HRW makes exactly the same comments about the Oromo Peoples Democratic Organization (OPDO) as it did in 2005, claiming that OPDO officials routinely accuse their critics of belonging to the Eritrean-based Oromo Liberation Front (OLF) an organization which remains committed to armed struggle.

There have, of course, been significant changes in decentralization in the last three years, and a consequent empowerment of woreda administrators, appointed by elected woreda councils. There have also been changes in the methodology of the National Electoral Board operations.  HRW ignores all this, as it does the very substantial work carried out by the Human Rights Commission or the Office of the Ombudsman; or even the internationally funded work in improving the judicial system. In fact, HRW makes no effort to investigate the reality of local democracy in local administrative organizations, merely claiming these are no more than mere devices to provide for OPDO control. HRW provides no evidence for its assertions that there is a pattern of abusive cooperation among officials across all levels of local government, nor does it make any effort to evaluate its sources depending upon admittedly partial, doubtful or all-too-often unidentified sources.   

A few days after the May 2005 elections, the Head of the EU's Election Monitoring Mission, told leading members of the opposition that they had won the election. She based her unfounded, and inaccurate remarks, on returns from less than two percent of polling stations in two largely untypical areas. It was a disastrous mistake, allowing the opposition to make claims of victory which had no validity. Much of what happened later in the year can be laid at her door. HRW, as in 2005, have done the same thing, building skyscrapers of criticism on the basis of severely limited examples.  The African Director of HRW in New York, Geogette Gagnon, just two days before voting, was even prepared to claim on the basis of what HRW admitted were highly limited samples, that: “it is too late to salvage these elections, which will simply be a rubber stamp on EPRDF's near-monopoly on power at the local level.”      

There can, of course, be no excuse for violations of human rights but the fact is that HRW, despite its claims, has not managed to document these. As Ethiopia has repeatedly said: human rights is a work in progress. It has not yet gone as far or as fast as necessary, but it is moving forward, though the continuous repetition of exaggerated and inaccurate opposition claims, without effort to investigate their reality, provide no help to the process. A Week in the Horn will have more to say about Human Rights Watch and its reporting on Ethiopia, next week.  

  • In the last few days, Aljazeera has been running a series of special reports in Arabic and then in English on the Ogaden, that is a part of the Somali Regional State. The reports have been broadcast under the title: Ogaden, the Forgotten Tragedy. They claim to be using “exclusive footage” obtained in what Aljazeera calls the “remote and dangerous region of Ogaden”. Aljazera is being less than honest in its claims. Neither of its narrators, Jama Nur in Arabic and Mohamed Addow in English, appear to have been involved in making these films, only in translating and comment. Indeed all the indications are that Aljazeera had virtually no part in these films at all, apart from the occasional interview. The films appear to have been obtained almost entirely from the Ogaden National Liberation Front, the organization responsible for the slaughter of 74 Chinese and Ethiopian workers, many of them Somalis, at the oil exploration site at Abole, in April a year ago. The ONLF has been responsible for a large number of terrorist activities since then, including regular assassinations and attempted assassinations of government officials, and of clan elders opposed to the ONLF, attacks on commercial vehicles, landmines on roads, the destruction of civilian vehicles, the burning of villages and other attempts to dispute the development of the region. The ONLF, despite these films, are supported by no more than a fraction of the Ogadeen clan; indeed, its support comes from no more than elements of two sub-clans. And the Ogadeen themselves constitute no more than a third of the Somali Regional State’s population.

The ONLF’s claims of support, as made in these films bear little relation to reality. The same is true of the claims repeated by ONLF members in these films about development in the region. It is true that the Somali Region was greatly neglected under the previous governments, but since 1991, the region has been one of the nine federal states with its own elected government, in which a majority of the ONLF actually participate. The present terrorist ONLF began as a small breakaway group in the mid 1990s when they failed to win control of the local administration. Supported by Eritrea, they launched a renewed series of terrorist operations last year. In recent months, following substantial security operations, ONLF activities have virtually disappeared, but they still retain the capacity for small-scale attacks on civilians and villages. In fact, development in the region has sharply increased, in particular in the last two or three years, and notably since federal block grants have been distributed down to local level administrations and woredas. In one woreda (Gursum) for example, since decentralization, the woreda has built 10 basic alternative schools, three junior and primary school, two veterinary clinics, a health post and a farmer’s training centre, 45 kms of roads, electrified two towns and provided wireless telephone services to  14 rural kebeles. It is not alone in these developments. On the larger scale, Jijiga airport has been tarmaced, a university built in Jijiga, the regional capital, which also has a Teacher Training Institute, a Management Insitutue, and a secondary school. Satellite education is reaching most woredas now. Under the current budget, the Somali Regional State administration hopes to raise health coverage from 50% to 64%, access to water from 27% to 33%, raise education participation from 35% to 43%, animal health coverage to 29% from 25%. The budget allows for the hiring of over 600 health staff, over 2,000 teachers and 555 agricultural experts. The Somali Regional State administration itself would be the first to admit there is along way to go, but a lot has been achieved since 1991, and there have been some significant improvements in budget utilization in the last two or three years. There is no hint of any of this in Alzajeera’s films, and it is clear that Aljazeera was not in the least bit interested in trying to find out if there had been any developments in the region, or in checking on any of the allegations made by ONLF members to camera. Nor did Aljazeera appear to have considered that the plausibility of some of those on film appeared very doubtful. Many looked surprisingly young; and one young woman who claimed to have been in the bush as a guerrilla fighter for three years, had carefully painted nails which would not have been out of place in a Dubai Hotel. Aljazeera has made a propaganda film for a terrorist organization, a film which will do little for its reputation.

          Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia

                     Ministry of Foreign Affairs